Quarter Superb Gem
The Planet’s Housing Markets Were On Balance Weaker In The Year Ending In The Second Quarter Of 2011, According To The First Released Survey Covering The Second-Quarter 2011 Data.
The planet’s housing markets were on balance weaker in the year ending in the second quarter of 2011, according to the very first released survey covering the Second-quarter 2011 info, released today by the Global Property Guide, which historically publishes global housing data ahead of other research houses.
Few Western european states ‘ markets rose, most slid, and many worse-hit states like Ireland, Greece and Spain performed much worse this year than last year. The US figures were also displeasing, due to high unemployment.
Internationally, more housing markets experienced price falls than rises.
Only 13 out of 39 countries which have so far released data for the period saw house price increases in the year to end Q2 2011.
Out of 26 countries with home price falls, eighteen saw sped up rates of decline.
The Worldwide Property Guide’s probabilistic display uses price changes after inflation, giving a rather more realistic picture than the more upbeat nominal figures usually favored by property agents.
Hong Kong had the highest increase among all states surveyed by the Global Property Guide, in spite of cooling measures implemented by the governing body. Home prices were up 19.76% over the year to end Second-quarter 2011, after inflation, with a quarterly rise of 3.51%.
The underlying dynamic has been Hong Kong’s extraordinarily strong industrial growth, with GDP up 5.1% over 12 months earlier, and extraordinarily low interest rates coming from the HK dollar’s peg to the US buck.
In Thailand, single-detached houses rose impressively by 7.75% during the year to Q2 2011, after inflation, after last year’s fall of 4.83%.
Thai home prices skyrocketed by 18.29% during quarter 2. This rise likely resulted from the nil interest loan scheme launched by the Governing body Housing Bank (GHB), aimed at increasing home ownership among lower and middle class earners. However , it ought to be mentioned that the Thai home price database is dated and unrepresentative.
Western european housing markets have been puny
Costs of houses in Europe sometimes slipped lower during the year to the second quarter of 2011. In reality most European states experienced quicker rates of decline than last year.
The information can be grouped into one or two classes : a) quicker declines this year than last, b) recoveries last year which have turned into declines, c) continued declines, but not as severe as last year, and d) precise recoveries (a small class).
1 or 2 Western european states which saw home price falls last year performed worse this year
Ireland had the worst home price decline among all reporting states in our survey over the 12 months to Second-quarter 2011. Home prices were down by 14.84% year-on-year, a far worse decline than the 11.83% fall the previous year.
European states which experienced weaker performances than the year before include Netherlands (-4.07%), Slovak Republic (-6.49%), Croatia real estate (-6.55%), Spain (-8.43%) and Athens, Greece (-9.88%) (all figures inflation-adjusted).
Some European states which recovered last year, sunk back this year
In Latvia, standard type apartments in Riga slipped by 5.40% year-on-year, after a solid comeback since Q2 2010. Quarter-on-quarter, flat prices were down by 3.80%.
In the United Kingdom, average home prices were down by 5.33% year-on-year, after rising 6.04% the previous year. The housing market started rebounding as early as Q4 2009, but started falling again in the last quarter of 2010. The price-falls in England are interesting, because UK IRs have been low and sterling has fallen, captivating foreign buyers.
In Sweden, home prices slid by 1.35% over the year to end Second-quarter 2011, likely because of the 85% mortgage ceiling introduced last year.
In Portugal, home prices have been falling since Q3 2010, and during the year to Q2 2011, prices dropped by 5.67%.
In Germany, residence prices have been slowing since the first quarter of 2011. In the complete year to Second-quarter 2011, prices dipped by 0.65%.
In Finland, home prices rose, but were up a mere 0.18% yearly, down from 10.24% expansion over the same period last year.
A few European countries have seen their housing markets recover
Norway led the tiny group of European countries which experienced house price increases, up by 5.93% over the year to end Q2 2011. Norway’s housing market began to rebound in Q3 2009 and hasn’t slowed, driven by low interest rates and strong economic expansion (4.80% over 12 months earlier).
Housing markets in Estonia (Tallinn), France and Iceland rose during the year to end Second-quarter 2011 after suffering home price falls in the previous year. In Tallinn, home prices were up 4.94% yearly, after last year’s fall of 0.66%. In France (information is from FNAIM), prices of existing dwellings rose 4.65% yearly, after a fall of 1.71% the previous year. In Iceland, home prices rose a touch by 0.60% annual, after falling by 9.04% during the year before.
After a decade-long decline in the 1990s, the housing market in Switzerland has been stable since two thousand. In the year to Second-quarter 2011, apartment prices rose by 2.19% year-on-year, up from 0.92% the previous year.
Israeli housing market softening
Israel home prices were up 5.40% year-on-year to Second-quarter 2011, but the pace is slowing because of the steps taken by Bank of Israel. These include interest rate hikes (currently 3.25%) and the new limit on prime interest based mortgages (33% of the property’s price).
During quarter 2, Israeli home prices slipped by 3.38%, the most steep decline since the last quarter of 2008. Furthermore, the continuing increase in the quantity of building starts, and steps taken by the Ministry of Finance in real estate taxation, are expected to be reflected in home prices in the course of next year,writes tagza.com.
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