Quarter First
The World’s Housing Markets Were On Balance Weaker In The Year Ending In Quarter 2 Of 2011, According To The First Published Survey Covering The Second-Quarter 2011 Data.
The world’s housing markets were on balance weaker during the year ending in quarter two of 2011, according to the very first published survey covering the Second-quarter 2011 info, released today by the World Property Guide, which traditionally publishes global housing info ahead of other research homes.
Few European states ‘ markets rose, most fell, and many worse-hit states like Eire, Greece and Spain performed much worse this year than last year. The US figures were also disappointing, due to high unemployment.
Worldwide, more housing markets experienced price falls than rises.
Only thirteen out of 39 states which have so far released info for the period saw house price increases during the year to finish Q2 2011.
Out of 26 states with house price falls, 18 saw accelerated rates of decline.
The Worldwide Property Guide’s probabilistic show uses price changes after inflation, giving a pragmatic picture than the more upbeat nominal figures often favored by property agents.
HK had the largest increase among all states surveyed by the Worldwide Property Guide, regardless of cooling measures implemented by the government. House prices were up 19.76% over the year to end Second-quarter 2011, after inflation, with a quarterly rise of 3.51%.
The base dynamic has been Hong Kong’s very strong economic expansion, with GDP up 5.1% over twelve months earlier, and extraordinarily low IRs caused by the HK dollar’s peg to the US buck.
In Thailand, single-detached houses rose impressively by 7.75% in the year to Q2 2011, after inflation, after last year’s fall of 4.83%.
Thai house prices skyrocketed by 18.29% during the second quarter. This rise probably resulted from the zero interest loan scheme launched by the Government Housing Bank (GHB), aimed at increasing home possession among lower and middle class earners. Nevertheless it ought to be mentioned the Thai house price database is dated and unrepresentative.
Western european housing markets have been weak
Prices of houses in Europe often fell lower in the year to the 2nd quarter of 2011. Actually most Western european states experienced faster rates of decline than last year.
The info can be grouped into a few classes : a) faster declines this year than last, b) recoveries last year which have turned into declines, c) continued declines, but not so serious as last year, and d) real recoveries (a little class).
1 or 2 European countries which saw house price falls last year performed even worse this year
Eire had the worst house price decline among all reporting states in our survey over the twelve months to Second-quarter 2011. House prices were down by 14.84% annual, a worse decline than the 11.83% fall the previous year.
Western european states which experienced weaker performances than the year before include Netherlands (-4.07%), Slovak Republic (-6.49%), Croatia real estate (-6.55%), Spain (-8.43%) and Athens, Greece (-9.88%) (all figures inflation-adjusted).
Some Western european states which recovered last year, sunk back this year
In Latvia, standard type apartments in Riga fell by 5.40% annual, after a solid comeback since Q2 2010. Quarter-on-quarter, apartment costs were down by 3.80%.
In the United Kingdom, average house prices were down by 5.33% annual, after rising 6.04% the previous year. The housing market began springing back as early as Q4 2009, but started falling again in the last quarter of 2010. The price-falls in England are engaging, because UK interest rates have been low and sterling has fallen, enticing foreign purchasers.
In Sweden, house prices slipped by 1.35% over the year to finish Second-quarter 2011, likely due to the eighty five percent mortgage ceiling introduced last year.
In Portugal, house prices have been falling since Q3 2010, and in the year to Q2 2011, prices flattened by 5.67%.
In Germany, house costs have been slowing since the first quarter of 2011. In the complete year to Second-quarter 2011, costs dipped by 0.65%.
In Finland, house prices rose, but were up an insignificant 0.18% yearly, down from 10.24% expansion over the same period last year.
A few EU states have seen their housing markets recover
Norway led the small group of EU states which experienced house price increases, up by 5.93% over the year to end Q2 2011. Norway’s home market started to rebound in Q3 2009 and has not slowed, driven by low IRs and robust industrial expansion (4.80% over 12 months earlier).
Housing markets in Estonia (Tallinn), France and Iceland rose in the year to finish Second-quarter 2011 after suffering house price falls in the previous year. In Tallinn, house prices were up 4.94% yearly, after last year’s fall of 0.66%. In France (data is from FNAIM), costs of existing dwellings rose 4.65% yearly, after a fall of 1.71% the previous year. In Iceland, house prices rose a little by 0.60% annual, after falling by 9.04% in the year before.
After a decade-long decline during the 1990s, the housing market in Switzerland has been stable since two thousand. In the year to Second-quarter 2011, apartment costs rose by 2.19% annual, up from 0.92% the previous year.
Israeli housing market softening
Israel house prices were up 5.40% annual to Second-quarter 2011, but the speed is slowing thanks to the steps taken by Bank of Israel. These include interest rate hikes (currently 3.25%) and the new limit on prime interest based mortgages (33% of the property’s worth).
During the second quarter, Israeli house prices fell by 3.38%, the most steep decline since the last quarter of 2008. Furthermore, the continuing increase in the amount of building starts, and steps taken by the Ministry of Finance in real estate taxation, are anticipated to be reflected in house prices in the course of next year,writes tagza.com.
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