Quarter Better Date
The World’s Housing Markets Were On Balance Weaker In The Year Ending In The Second Quarter Of 2011, According To The Very First Released Survey Covering The Q2 2011 Information.
The planet’s housing markets were on balance weaker in the year ending in quarter two of 2011, according to the very first made public survey covering the Second-quarter 2011 info, released today by the World Property Guide, which traditionally publishes worldwide housing info before other research homes.
Few European states ‘ markets rose, most fell, and many worse-hit states such as Ireland, Greece and Spain performed much worse this year than last year. The US figures were also displeasing, due to high unemployment.
Globally, more housing markets experienced price falls than rises.
Only 13 out of 39 nations which have so far released info for the period saw house price increases in the year to finish Second-quarter 2011.
Out of twenty-six countries with home price falls, eighteen saw speeded up rates of decline.
The Worldwide Property Guide’s probabilistic presentation uses price changes after inflation, giving a rather more practical picture than the more upbeat nominal figures usually favoured by real estate agents.
Hong Kong had the highest increase among all states surveyed by the Global Property Guide, in spite of cooling measures implemented by the government. Home prices were up 19.76% over the year to end Second-quarter 2011, after inflation, with a quarterly rise of 3.51%.
The underlying dynamic has been Hong Kong’s extraordinarily strong industrial expansion, with GDP up 5.1% over twelve months earlier, and extraordinarily low IRs coming from the HK dollar’s peg to the US greenback.
In Thailand, single-detached houses rose impressively by 7.75% in the year to Second-quarter 2011, after inflation, after last year’s fall of 4.83%.
Thai house prices rocketed by 18.29% during the second quarter. This rise probably resulted from the 0 interest loan scheme launched by the Government Housing Bank (GHB), aimed at increasing home possession among lower and middle class earners. But it must be noted the Thai home price database is dated and unrepresentative.
Western european housing markets have been weak
Costs of houses in Europe sometimes slipped lower in the year to Q2 of 2011. Actually most European states experienced quicker rates of decline than last year.
The information can be grouped into several classes : a) quicker declines this year than last, b) recoveries last year which have turned into declines, c) continued declines, but not so serious as last year, and d) precise recoveries (a small class).
A few European nations which saw home price falls last year performed even worse this year
Ireland had the worst home price decline among all reporting states in our survey over the twelve months to Second-quarter 2011. House prices were down by 14.84% yearly, a far worse decline than the 11.83% fall the year before.
European states which experienced weaker performances than the previous year include Netherlands (-4.07%), Slovak Republic (-6.49%), Croatia real estate (-6.55%), Spain (-8.43%) and Athens, Greece (-9.88%) (all figures inflation-adjusted).
Some European states which recovered last year, sunk back this year
In Latvia, standard type residences in Riga slipped by 5.40% yearly, after a solid comeback since Second-quarter 2010. Quarter-on-quarter, house costs were down by 3.80%.
In Britain, average home prices were down by 5.33% yearly, after rising 6.04% the year before. The housing market started rebounding as early as Q4 2009, but started falling again in the last quarter of 2010. The price-falls in the UK are fascinating, because UK rates have been low and sterling has fallen, enticing foreign customers.
In Sweden, house prices dropped by 1.35% over the year to finish Second-quarter 2011, probably because of the eighty five percent mortgage ceiling introduced last year.
In Portugal, house prices have been falling since Q3 2010, and in the year to Second-quarter 2011, prices softened by 5.67%.
In Germany, residence costs have been slowing since quarter 1 of 2011. During the full year to Second-quarter 2011, costs dipped by 0.65%.
In Finland, house prices rose, but were up a trifling 0.18% yearly, down from 10.24% expansion over the same period last year.
One or two EU nations have seen their housing markets recover
Norway led the little group of Western european countries which experienced house price increases, up by 5.93% over the year to end Second-quarter 2011. Norway’s housing market began to rebound in Q3 2009 and has not slowed, driven by low IRs and robust commercial expansion (4.80% over twelve months earlier).
Housing markets in Estonia (Tallinn), France and Iceland rose in the year to finish Second-quarter 2011 after suffering home price falls in the year before. In Tallinn, home prices were up 4.94% annual, after last year’s fall of 0.66%. In France (info is from FNAIM), costs of existing dwellings rose 4.65% annual, after a fall of 1.71% the year before. In Iceland, home prices rose a touch by 0.60% year-on-year, after falling by 9.04% in the previous year.
After a decade-long decline in the 1990s, the housing market in Switzerland has been stable since 2k. During the year to Second-quarter 2011, residence costs rose by 2.19% yearly, up from 0.92% the year before.
Israeli housing market softening
Israel house prices were up 5.40% yearly to Second-quarter 2011, but the pace is slowing thanks to the steps taken by Bank of Israel. These include interest rate walks (now 3.25%) and the new limit on prime interest based mortgages (33% of the property’s price).
During the second quarter, Israeli home prices dropped by 3.38%, the most steep decline since the last quarter of 2008. Furthermore, the continued increase in the quantity of building starts, and steps taken by the Ministry of Finance in real-estate taxation, are predicted to be reflected in home prices in the course of the coming year,writes tagza.com.
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